MANAGEMENT DISCUSSION
AND ANALYSIS
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HIGHLIGHTS
- In fiscal 1998, net income decreased
for the first time in four years, dropping 49.8% to $399.6 million
(or $1.35 per diluted share). Net income included a pre-tax restructuring
charge of $129.9 million, or $79.5 million after taxes (or $0.27
per diluted share).
- Fiscal 1998 revenues increased
4% to a record $9.6 billion, coming off annual revenue increases
of 42% and 36% in the prior two years, respectively. Despite the
economic crisis in Asia, total revenues generated outside the
United States grew 21% in constant dollars, and now represent
41% of total revenues.
- Gross margins dropped to 36.5%
of revenues, compared to 40.1% and 39.6% in the prior two years,
respectively.
- Selling and administrative expenses
grew to 27.5% of revenues, compared to 25.1% and 24.6% in the
prior two years, respectively.
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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Fiscal 1998 compared
to fiscal 1997
Decreasing revenue growth, a lower gross margin percentage and higher
selling and administrative expenses, as well as a fourth quarter
restructuring charge, all contributed to fiscal 1998's decrease
in net income compared to the prior year. The Asian economic crisis
and declining revenues in the United States were the primary reasons
for the lower earnings. Consumer spending declined considerably
in Asia during fiscal 1998 as a result of macroeconomic issues facing
that region. As a result, revenue growth in the Asia Pacific region
fell well short of the Company's expectations, resulting in excess
inventory levels and increased levels of discounted product sales,
both having a negative impact on that region's gross margin percentage.
Additionally, spending did not adjust as quickly as the sudden decline
in revenue growth, resulting in significantly higher selling and
administrative costs as a percentage of revenues in that region.
Revenues in the United States declined for the first time in four
years, as demand for Nike product slowed compared to record sales
in the prior year, again resulting in excess inventory levels and
an increase in the level of discounted product sales. Despite the
issues facing Asian markets, management believes there is tremendous
opportunity for growth in markets outside the United States. The
Company continues to invest in infrastructure and local marketing
and advertising to capitalize on these opportunities. The Company
believes there are growth opportunities in all regions in which
it does business, however, until the economies in the Asia Pacific
region show signs of recovery, the Company may not realize those
growth opportunities.
During the fourth quarter of fiscal
1998, the Company took specific actions to reduce its overall cost
structure in light of slower near-term growth rates. Certain of
these actions resulted in a pre-tax restructuring charge in the
fourth quarter of fiscal 1998 of $129.9 million, (see below and
Note 13 for a more complete analysis of this charge).
Revenues increased 4% over fiscal
year 1998, and would have increased 7% had the dollar remained constant
with that of the prior year. Despite the economic issues facing
the Asian markets, total non-U.S. footwear and apparel revenues
increased 12%, 21% on a constant dollar basis, and now represent
41% of total Company revenues. Revenue increases were experienced
in every region except the United States. Outside the U.S., Europe
increased 15% (24% in constant dollars), with footwear and apparel
increasing 6% and 35%, respectively, (14% and 44% in constant dollars,
respectively), Asia-Pacific revenues were flat compared with the
prior year (11% increase in constant dollars) with footwear down
8% and apparel increasing 34%, respectively, (2% increase and 50%
increase, in constant dollars, respectively), and the Americas increased
32% (35% in constant dollars), with footwear and apparel increasing
20% and 78%, respectively, (23% and 83% in constant dollars, respectively).
The countries outside the U.S. that
represent the largest percent of the Company's total international
business are: Japan, which increased 4% (13% in constant dollars),
United Kingdom, which increased 11% (10% in constant dollars), Canada
which increased 32% (36% in constant dollars), France, which increased
15% (25% in constant dollars), Italy, which increased 35% in both
real and constant dollars, and Spain, which increased 40% (54% in
constant dollars). Notable countries that experienced revenue reductions
were Korea, which decreased 29% (7% in constant dollars) and Germany,
which decreased 6% (but increased 7% in constant dollars).
U.S. footwear and apparel revenues
decreased 2% compared to the prior year. U.S. footwear, representing
the Company's largest market segment, decreased over $255 million
in sales, or 7%, representing a decrease in pairs sold of 3%, and
a decrease of 4% in average selling price. The reduction in sales
was primarily attributable to the glut of inventory at retail which
reduced customer order volumes and increased order cancellation
rates. The decrease in average selling price is due to increased
mix of lower priced product, given the higher volume of close-out
sales. The five largest footwear categories are Training, Running,
Basketball, Kids and Brand Jordan. These represent approximately
80% of the total U.S. footwear business, and all but Brand Jordan
experienced revenue declines of between 4% and 17% compared to the
prior year. Brand Jordan increased 57%. In addition, Golf and Soccer
showed healthy increases over the prior year, improving 71% and
74%, respectively. Outdoor and Tennis experienced revenue reductions,
down 7% and 14%, respectively. U.S. apparel increased $150 million,
or 11%, over the prior year. Nearly all apparel categories experienced
revenue increases, the largest individual categories being Training
(up 10%), Accessories (up 6%), Kids (up 41%), Tee-shirts (up 5%)
and Golf (up 57%). Team Sports Apparel was the only category to
show any significant decrease compared with the prior year, down
8%.
Other Revenues, which includes U.S.
and non-U.S. Nike branded Equipment business, Bauer Inc., Cole Haan,
Sports Specialties Corp., and Tetra Plastics, Inc., increased $53.8
million, or 10%, to $602.3 million. Nike branded Equipment increased
over $90 million, representing growth from new product introductions,
while the non-Nike branded subsidiaries all experienced revenue
reductions.
The Company expects that revenue growth
in fiscal year 1999 will be slightly down compared to fiscal 1998.
During the first half of fiscal 1999, retail should experience a
sell through of the large quantities of close-out inventories that
have flooded the U.S. market in the last two to three quarters.
As a result, the Company expects revenue shortfalls in the U.S.
for the first half of fiscal 1999 compared to very strong sales
in the comparable periods of fiscal year 1998. However, revenues
should increase slightly in the second half of the year. In Europe,
revenue growth is expected to be just slightly less than fiscal
year 1998, led principally by growth in the apparel business. In
Asia, the ultimate effect of the economic crisis on consumer spending
is difficult to forecast. However, the Company's business model
would suggest that regional revenues could be down by as much as
30% compared to fiscal 1998.
The breakdown of revenues follows:
(in millions)

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Gross margins declined to 36.5% of
revenues in fiscal year 1998, down 360 basis points from the previous
year. Significant to this decline were the increased levels of close-out
sales at greatly reduced selling prices, and increased levels of
inventory reserves against higher close-out inventory levels, particularly
in the U.S. and Asia. The combination of these two factors reduced
annual margins by more than 200 basis points. Other reasons for
the reduced gross margin percentage were the strengthening of the
U.S. dollar, which can inhibit the Company's ability to price products
competitively in international markets, fixed costs associated with
distribution facilities, increasing royalty costs associated with
athlete endorsement contracts, and increased levels of research
and development costs. The Company expects that overall margins
will continue to compare unfavorably through the first six months
of fiscal 1999, but recover to positive comparisons in quarters
three and four. Margins in the first six months of fiscal 1999 will
be affected by the continued management of high close-out inventory
levels in certain segments of the business, most notably in U.S.
apparel, as the U.S. apparel retail environment remains glutted,
Europe's footwear segment, as orders soften slightly through the
first six months of fiscal 1999, and virtually all segments of the
Asia Pacific business. The Company currently believes that gross
margins as a percentage of revenues should improve slightly over
fiscal 1998, in part due to the improved inventory position at the
beginning of the fiscal year.
Selling
and administrative expenses increased $320.1 million over the prior
year, representing 27.5% of revenues compared to 25.1% in the prior
year. The most significant increases were in the wage base, which
was up 14% overall, led principally by the U.S. and Asia Pacific,
endorsement contract-related costs, which were up 47% primarily
as a result of significant new contracts in Soccer and Golf categories
along with enhanced arrangements with the NFL, WNBA, and NBA, and
rent and depreciation, which were up 54% and 33%, respectively,
relating principally to expanded Retail outlets and NIKETOWN stores,
along with capital projects in the distribution and computer infrastructure
areas. Management believes fiscal 1999 selling and administrative
spending will support the level of business to be driven throughout
the year, with the goal of building momentum for the brand going
into fiscal year 2000. Given the slightly decreased revenue scenario,
selling and administrative spending should be in the 27.5% to 28.0%
range of revenues, with a target for future years closer to 25%.
Interest expense increased $7.7 million,
or 14.6%, compared to the prior year. The increase was due to the
addition of long-term debt of approximately $100 million in June
1997, to fund capital projects, offset by lower levels of short-term
borrowings given decreased working capital requirements. See further
discussion under liquidity and capital resources below.
Other income/expense was a net expense
of $20.9 million in fiscal year 1998, compared with $32.3 million
in 1997. The majority of the decrease is attributable to an $18.1
million restructuring charge incurred in the prior year with corresponding
amounts in 1998 included in the 1998 restructuring charge. Other
amounts include profit share expense, which decreased due to lower
earnings, interest income, which decreased compared with the prior
year given the lower average levels of cash on hand throughout the
year, and foreign exchange conversion gains and losses.
Worldwide futures and advance orders
for Nike brand athletic footwear and apparel scheduled for delivery
from June through November 1998, totaled approximately $4.2 billion,
13% lower than such orders booked in the comparable period of fiscal
1998. The orders and percentage growth in these orders is not necessarily
indicative of the anticipated growth in revenues which the Company
expects to experience for subsequent periods. This is because the
mix of orders can shift between advance/futures and at-once orders.
In addition, exchange rate fluctuations can cause differences in
the comparisons between futures orders and actual revenues.
As further explained in Note 1 to the
Consolidated Financial Statements, prior to fiscal year 1997, certain
of the Company's U.S. operations reported their results of operations
on a one month lag which allowed more time to compile results. Beginning
in the first quarter of fiscal year 1997, the one month lag was
eliminated and the May 1996 charge from operations for these entities
of $4.1 million was recorded to retained earnings. This change did
not have a material effect on the annual results of operations.
Fiscal 1998 Restructuring
Charge
During the fourth quarter of fiscal 1998, the Company recorded a
restructuring charge of $129.9 million as a result of certain of
the Company's actions to better align its overall cost structure
and organization with planned revenue levels. The Company is continuing
to evaluate all areas of the business. However, as a result of the
specific plans described below, the Company expects to remove approximately
$100 million from its cost structure in fiscal 1999 and beyond.
These savings are predominantly due to reduced wage-related costs,
reduced carrying cost of property, plant and equipment, reduced
rent charges (associated with office and expatriate housing) and
other miscellaneous savings. There are no significant costs that
have not been recognized related to these plans. The restructuring
activities (shown below in tabular format) primarily relate to the
following:
The elimination of job responsibilities
company-wide. Employees were terminated from all regions and
almost all areas of the Company, including marketing, sales and
administrative areas. Related charges include severance packages,
both cash payments made directly to terminated employees as well
as outplacement services, lease cancellations and commitments, for
both excess office space and expatriate employee housing, and write-down
of assets no longer in use. Such assets, which include office equipment
and expatriate employee housing and furniture, have been sold or
are being held for sale as of May 31, 1998. A total of 1,039 employees
were terminated as part of the plan, of which 845 have been paid
and left the Company as of May 31, 1998. The remaining 194 will
receive their severance packages and leave the Company in the first
quarter of fiscal 1999.
Downsizing of the Asia Pacific Headquarters
in Hong Kong. The Company made the decision to reduce the size
of the Asia Pacific Headquarters' operations and to relocate the
regional headquarter responsibilities to its worldwide headquarters
in the U.S. Included in the restructuring charge are costs associated
with the termination of employees, lease cancellations and commitments
and the write-down of assets no longer in use. Such assets have
been sold or are being held for sale as of May 31, 1998. A total
of 118 employees were terminated as part of the plan to downsize
and relocate the headquarters. Of the 118, 106 have been paid and
left the Company as of May 31, 1998. The remaining 12 will receive
their severance packages and leave the Company in the first quarter
of fiscal 1999.
Downsizing of the Japan distribution
center. The Company is in the process of constructing a new
distribution center in Japan. Due to the economic downturn in the
Asia Pacific region and the impact on the Company's business in
Japan, the forecasted volume of inventories and product flow has
decreased significantly from the original plans. Because of this,
management is in the process of redesigning the distribution center
to efficiently accommodate new forecasted volumes of inventories
and product flow. The costs included in the restructuring charge
are costs incurred to date on the construction of the distribution
center that will have no use under the redesigned facility.
Cancellation of endorsement contracts.
As a result of the downturn in the Company's business, the Company
has refocused its marketing along core product categories. The Company
is in the process of reviewing all endorsement contracts in non-core
product categories. The charge includes the final settlements for
the those contracts where termination agreements with endorsees
have been reached, releasing the endorsees from all contractual
obligations. Final payment of the termination settlements will be
made in the first quarter of fiscal 1999.
(in millions)
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Exiting certain manufacturing operations
at the Company's Bauer subsidiary. The charge related to the
decision to exit certain manufacturing operations consists of machinery
and equipment that is no longer in use and being held for sale,
as well as the planned disposal of two operating plants. These costs
represent the write-down of those facilities to their estimated
fair value less costs to sell. The Company is currently actively
negotiating sales agreements. As a result of the reduced level of
manufacturing operations, 51 employees were terminated, 33 of which
had left the Company as of May 31, 1998.
Future cash outlays are anticipated
to be completed by the end of fiscal 1999, excluding certain lease
commitments that will continue through July 2001. The Company will
continue to evaluate its cost structure and adjust its organization
to reflect changing business environments around the world.
Import Quotas and Anti-Dumping
Duties
The Company's non-U.S. operations are subject to the usual risks
of doing business abroad, such as the imposition of import quotas
or anti-dumping duties. In 1995, the EU Commission, at the request
of European footwear manufacturers, initiated two anti-dumping investigations
covering footwear imported from the People's Republic of China,
Indonesia and Thailand. As a result, in October 1997 the Commission
imposed definitive anti-dumping duties on certain textile upper
footwear imported from China and Indonesia. In February 1998, the
Commission imposed definitive anti-dumping duties on certain synthetic
and leather upper footwear originating in China, Indonesia and Thailand.
Nevertheless, the textile footwear
anti-dumping duties do not cover sports footwear and, in the case
of synthetic/leather footwear, so-called "special technology" footwear
for use in sporting activities are expressly excluded from the duties.
The Company has no reason to believe that these sports footwear
exclusions will be changed and, while the exclusions are subject
to some interpretation by customs authorities, the Company believes
that most of its footwear sourced in the target countries for sale
in the EU fits within the exclusions and, therefore, the Company
will not be materially affected by the anti-dumping duties. If there
were changes in the exclusions, the Company would consider, in addition
to its possible legal remedies, shifting the production of such
footwear to other countries in order to maintain competitive pricing.
The Company believes that it is prepared to deal effectively with
any such change of circumstances and that any adverse impact would
be of a short-term nature. The Company continues to closely monitor
international restrictions and maintains its multi-country sourcing
strategy and contingency plans. The Company believes that its major
competitors stand in much the same position regarding such trade
measures.
Year 2000
The year 2000 issue is the result of computer programs using two
digits rather than four to define the applicable year. Such software
may recognize a date using "00" as the year 1900 rather than the
year 2000. This could result in system failures or miscalculations
leading to disruptions in the Company's activities and operations.
If the Company, its significant customers, or suppliers fail to
make necessary modifications and conversions on a timely basis,
the year 2000 issue could have a material adverse effect on Company
operations. However, the impact cannot be quantified at this time.
The Company believes that its competitors face a similar risk.
In May 1997, the Company established
a corporate-wide project team to identify non-compliant software
and complete the corrections required by the year 2000 issue. The
Company intends to fix or replace non-compliant internal software
with code or software that is year 2000 compliant. While a plan
is in place, significant work remains to be done. The Company's
current target is to resolve compliance issues in important business
information systems by December 31, 1998. Remediation and testing
activities are underway on the Company's core business applications
first, and the Company is implementing plans for smaller computer
systems. The Company is also focusing on major customers and suppliers
to assess their compliance. Nevertheless, there can be no absolute
assurance that there will not be a material adverse effect on the
Company if third party governmental or business entities do not
convert or replace their systems in a timely manner and in a way
that is compatible with the Company's systems.
Costs related to the year 2000 issue
are funded through operating cash flows. Through fiscal 1998, the
Company expended approximately $20 million in remediation efforts,
including the cost of new software and modifying the applicable
code of existing software. The Company estimates remaining costs
to be between $20 and $25 million. The Company presently believes
that the total cost of achieving year 2000 compliant systems is
not expected to be material to Nike's financial condition, liquidity,
or results of operations.
Time and cost estimates are based on
currently available information. Developments that could affect
estimates include, but are not limited to, the availability and
cost of trained personnel; the ability to locate and correct all
relevant computer code and systems; and remediation success of the
Company's customers and suppliers.
Fiscal 1997 Compared
To Fiscal 1996
Significant growth in worldwide revenues and improved gross margin
percentage were the primary factors contributing to record earnings
for fiscal 1997 as compared to 1996. In the United States, footwear
revenues increased $1 billion, or 36%, demonstrating continued market
share gains and industry growth. U.S. apparel exceeded $1 billion
in revenues for the first time, increasing $588.5 million, or 70%,
over the previous year. Revenues from international (non-U.S.) markets
increased 49% over the previous year, and now represent 38% of total
revenues.
The Company experienced revenue growth
in fiscal 1997 in all breakout categories (see chart). U.S. footwear
represented the largest increase in total dollars, improving by
almost $1 billion, or 36%, as a result of 28% more pairs sold and
a 6% increase in average selling price. The increase in average
selling price was due to a change in product mix as well as increased
prices in effect during the second half of the fiscal year in certain
categories. Men's Basketball, Men's Running, Men's Cross-Training,
Kids, and Women's Fitness comprise approximately 79% of the total
U.S. footwear business, and individually increased 35%, 59%, 26%,
53% and 51%, respectively. Brand Jordan and Golf categories increased
significantly over the prior year, improving 133% and 111%, respectively.
Two categories experienced revenue reductions, Men's Court and Outdoor,
down 22% and 24%, respectively. U.S. apparel experienced growth
in all categories, demonstrating the strength of the Nike brand.
Brand revenues outside of the U.S. increased $1.1 billion, or 49%.
The U.S. dollar strengthened against nearly all currencies. Had
the U.S. dollar remained constant with that of the prior year, non-U.S.
revenues would have increased $1.4 billion, or 59%. By region, Asia
Pacific increased $511 million, or 70% (84% on a constant dollar
basis), Europe increased $497 million, or 38% (48% on a constant
dollar basis) and the Americas (which includes Canada and Latin
America) increased $137 million, or 44% (46% on a constant dollar
basis). The most significant increases were in Japan, Korea, United
Kingdom, Italy, and Canada. Other Brands which includes Bauer Inc.,
Cole Haan, Sports Specialties, Corp., and Tetra Plastics, Inc.,
decreased 3% to $504 million.
Gross margins increased to 40.1% of
revenues in fiscal 1997, exceeding 40% for the first time in Company
history. The improved percentage was principally driven by price
increases in certain U.S. footwear categories in effect the second
half of the year. This was offset by slight reductions in gross
margin percentages from increased close-out sales as a percentage
of total sales, most predominantly at Bauer, due to the softening
of the in-line skate market and liquidation of non-Bauer brand product
to consolidate to a single Bauer brand.
Selling and administrative expenses
represented 25.1% of revenues compared with 24.6% in the prior year.
Nike brand expenses increased $353 million in the U.S. and $355
million outside the U.S. Increases were largely driven by increased
sales and marketing spending, as well as infrastructure-related
costs to support growth outside the U.S.
Interest expense increased $12.8 million
due to increased short-term and new long-term borrowings needed
to fund the increased level of operations, including increased working
capital requirements and infrastructure.
Other income/expense was a net expense
of $32.3 million in fiscal 1997, compared with $36.7 million in
1996. The majority of the reduction was attributable to increased
interest income, higher gain on disposal of assets and income from
a new promotional event staged in Japan, offset by a one-time Bauer
non-recurring charge of $18.1 million, which includes, among other
things, moving certain products to offshore production and the closing
of certain facilities.
LIQUIDITY
AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
The Company's financial position remains
strong at May 31, 1998. Compared to May 31, 1997, total assets increased
less than 1%, or $36.2 million, and remained at $5.4 billion. Shareholders'
equity increased $105.7 million, or 3.3% to $3.3 billion. Working
capital decreased $135 .2 million, to $1.8 billion, and the Company's
current ratio was 2.07:1 at May 31, 1998 compared to 2.05:1 at the
end of the prior fiscal year.
Despite significantly lower net income
compared with fiscal 1997, cash provided by operations increased
by $194.4 to $517.5 million for the year ended May 31, 1998. This
was primarily due to lower working capital at May 31, 1998 compared
to the previous year end as a result of a lower revenue growth rate.
Of the major components comprising working capital, inventories
increased $58.0 million, or 4%, accounts receivable decreased $79.7
million, or 4.5%, and accounts payable decreased $102.5 million
or 15%. The increase in inventories compared with a year ago is
due most significantly to increased levels of excess and slow-moving
inventory. Due to the sudden and significant downturn in consumer
spending during the second half of the fiscal year, most notably
in the Asian markets, as well as the slow-down in the U.S. market
given the glut of inventory at retail, the Company has experienced
higher levels of order cancellations in fiscal 1998 as compared
to the prior year. As a result, management implemented plans in
fiscal 1998 to reduce the high levels of excess inventory. As of
May 31, 1998, overall inventory levels, including close-out inventory
levels, are consistent with expected order volumes, except for close-out
inventory in Asia Pacific which will require further liquidation
through fiscal 1999. The Company expects cash provided by operations
during fiscal 1999 to be positively affected by the aggressive management
of key working capital components.
Additions to property, plant and equipment
for fiscal 1998 were $506 million, split fairly evenly between the
U.S. and non-U.S. operations, compared to $466 million in fiscal
1997. Additions in the U.S. were comprised primarily of the U.S.
headquarters expansion, customer service distribution facilities,
ongoing investment in systems infrastructure, and retail expansion.
Outside the U.S., the majority of the increase is related to expansion
of customer service distribution centers in Europe, Japan and Korea.
The Company expects fiscal 1999 capital expenditures to be in similar
areas and are estimated to be slightly higher than 1998.
Additions to long-term debt totaled
approximately $100 million in fiscal 1998, used primarily to replace
short-term notes payable.
In fiscal 1997, the Company
filed a shelf registration with the Securities and Exchange
Commission for the sale of up to $500 million of debt securities. The
filing has enabled the Company to issue debt from time to time during
the next several years. Under this program, the Company has issued
$300 million of medium-term notes, $100 million in the first
quarter of fiscal 1998, which mature in three to five years, and $200
million in the prior year, maturing December 1, 2003. The proceeds
were swapped into Dutch Guilders to obtain medium-term fixed rate financing
to support the growth of the Company's European operations. In addition,
the Company used excess cash to reduce notes payable outside the
U.S., and fund property, plant and equipment additions, repurchase
stock, and pay dividends.
Management believes that significant
funds generated by operations, together with access to sufficient
sources of funds, will adequately meet its anticipated operating,
global infrastructure expansion, and capital needs. Significant
short- and long-term lines of credit are maintained with banks which,
along with cash on hand, provide adequate operating liquidity. Liquidity
is also provided by the Company's commercial paper program, under
which there was $92 million and $0 outstanding at May 31, 1998 and
1997, respectively.
Dividends per share of common stock
for fiscal 1998 rose $.08 over fiscal 1997 to $.46 per share. Dividend
declaration in all four quarters has been consistent since February
1984. Based upon current projected earnings and cash flow requirements,
the Company anticipates continuing a dividend and reviewing its
amount at the November Board of Directors meeting. The Company's
policy continues to target an annual dividend in the range of 15%
to 25% of trailing twelve-month earnings.
In the fourth quarter, the Company
purchased a total of 0.9 million shares of Nike's Class B common
stock for $38.9 million under the new $1 billion four-year program
approved in December 1997. During all of fiscal year 1998, the Company
purchased 1.2 million shares for a total of $53.9 million under
the new program. Additionally, during fiscal year 1998, the Company
completed the previous $450 million share repurchase program approved
in July 1993, by purchasing a total of 3.2 million shares for $148.4
million. Funding has, and is expected to continue to, come from
operating cash flow in conjunction with short-term borrowings. The
timing and the amount of shares purchased will be dictated by working
capital needs and stock market conditions.
MARKET RISK
The Company is exposed to the impact
of foreign currency fluctuations and interest rate changes due to
its international sales, production, and funding requirements. In
the normal course of business, the Company employs established policies
and procedures to manage its exposure to fluctuations in the value
of foreign currencies and interest rates using a variety of financial
instruments. It is the Company's policy to utilize financial instruments
to reduce risks where internal netting and other strategies cannot
be effectively employed. Foreign currency and interest rate transactions
are used only to the extent considered necessary to meet the Company's
objectives and the Company does not enter into foreign currency
or interest rate transactions for speculative purposes.
In addition to product sales and costs,
the Company has foreign currency risk related to debt that is denominated
in currencies other than the U.S. dollar. The Company's foreign
currency risk management objective is to protect cash flows resulting
from sales, purchases and other costs from the adverse impact of
exchange rate movements. Foreign exchange risk is managed by using
forward exchange contracts and purchased options to hedge certain
firm commitments and the related receivables and payables, including
third party or intercompany transactions. Purchased currency options
are used to hedge certain anticipated but not yet firmly committed
transactions expected to be recognized within one year. By policy,
the Company maintains hedge coverage between minimum and maximum
percentages. Cross-currency swaps are used to hedge foreign currency
denominated payments related to intercompany loan agreements. Hedged
transactions are denominated primarily in European currencies, Japanese
yen and Canadian dollar.
The Company is exposed to changes
in interest rates primarily as a result of its long-term debt used
to maintain liquidity and fund capital expenditures and international
expansion. The Company's interest rate risk management objective
is to limit the impact of interest rate changes on earnings and
cash flows and to lower its overall borrowing costs. To achieve
its objectives the Company maintains fixed rate debt as a percentage
of aggregate debt and finances working capital needs through its
payables agreement with Nisslo Iwai American Corporation, various
bank loans, and commercial paper.
Market Risk Measurement
Foreign exchange risk and related derivatives use is monitored using
a variety of techniques including a review of market value, sensitivity
analysis, and Value-at-Risk (VaR). The VaR determines the maximum
potential one-day loss in the fair value of foreign exchange rate-sensitive
financial instruments. The VaR model estimates were made assuming
normal market conditions and a 95% confidence level. There are various
modeling techniques that can be used in the VaR computation. The
Company's computations are based on interrelationships between currencies
and interest rates (a "variance/co-variance" technique). These interrelationships
were determined by observing foreign currency market changes and
interest rate changes over the preceding 90 days. The value of foreign
currency options does not change on a one-to-one basis with changes
in the underlying currency rate. The potential loss in option value
was adjusted for the estimated sensitivity (the "delta" and "gamma")
to changes in the underlying currency rate. The model includes all
of the Company's forwards, options, cross-currency swaps and yen-denominated
debt (i.e., the Company's market-sensitive derivative and other
financial instruments as defined by the SEC). Anticipated transactions,
firm commitments and accounts receivable and payable denominated
in foreign currencies, which certain of these instruments are intended
to hedge, were excluded from the model.
The VaR model is a risk analysis tool
and does not purport to represent actual losses in fair value that
will be incurred by the Company, nor does it consider the potential
effect of favorable changes in market rates. It also does not represent
the maximum possible loss that may occur. Actual future gains and
losses will differ from those estimated because of changes or differences
in market rates and interrelationships, hedging instruments and
hedge percentages, timing and other factors.
The estimated maximum one-day loss
in fair value on the Company's foreign currency sensitive financial
instruments, derived using the VaR model, was $11.7 million at May
31, 1998. The Company believes that this amount is immaterial and
that such a hypothetical loss in fair value of its derivatives would
be offset by increases in the value of the underlying transactions
being hedged.
The Company's interest rate risk is
also monitored using a variety of techniques. Notes 5 and 14 to
the Consolidated Financial Statements outline the principal amounts,
weighted average interest rates, fair values and other terms required
to evaluate the expected cash flows and sensitivity to interest
rate changes.
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